Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
1.0 miles North-East of Crestline
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
1.0 miles North-East of Crestline
34.2522°N, 117.2719°W
Forecast Time Window
31st of May 2026
May 31, 2026 00:05:24 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
1.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
254h 28m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
125.3 km
25.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
22.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.08
Predicted M3.28 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
11.8 km
Pred. 1.8 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4ad9b8c6b81faebb40b2c9cea73ed09902f9a68b17680275e933087539b61a17
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260520_023639_pred-34.25--117.27-20260531T0005
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 20, 2026 09:36:44 PST
Source Batch
20260520_023639_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:15.068340+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.