Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
38.1 miles North-East of Belmont NV
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
38.1 miles North-East of Belmont NV
39.0237°N, 116.3688°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 09:40:03 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
473h 32m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
64.7 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
7.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.32 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
13.1 km
Pred. 13.1 km vs actual 0.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
5ce93f8ddf04599a448392ae30ec8c5c7c39320941631b3897419d749cf90a9e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260520_090713_pred-39.02--116.37-20260609T0940
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 20, 2026 16:07:18 PST
Source Batch
20260520_090713_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:19.290873+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.