Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
27.3 miles North-West of Winnemucca
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
27.3 miles North-West of Winnemucca
41.1512°N, 118.2028°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of July 2026
Jul 09, 2026 08:35:18 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1184h 58m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
149.0 km
49.0 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
12.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.73
Predicted M3.13 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
12.9 km
Pred. 5.4 km vs actual 7.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
aaec2b26db008d7dc0ebf3c2eb2ea145ffeb21c2d37e5b7a207c7a532d82dbbd
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260520_163617_pred-41.15--118.20-20260709T0835
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 20, 2026 23:36:22 PST
Source Batch
20260520_163617_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:32.501561+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.