Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
12.1 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.1 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2764°N, 119.0725°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of June 2026
Jun 06, 2026 09:33:02 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
389h 2m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
3.4 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
22.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.28
Predicted M2.12 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
21.4 km
Pred. 13.3 km vs actual 8.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c96882b031975cb3369d2fcd144e774d79457b81647d67224a1e1aec4e5720d9
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260520_213031_pred-39.28--119.07-20260606T0933
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 21, 2026 04:30:37 PST
Source Batch
20260520_213031_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:34.458015+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.