Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
13.0 miles North of Pine Mountain Club
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.0 miles North of Pine Mountain Club
35.0285°N, 119.1077°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of June 2026
Jun 04, 2026 09:11:21 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
331h 24m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
123.0 km
23.0 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
14.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.09
Predicted M2.41 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
13.8 km
Pred. 8.2 km vs actual 5.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e8d62fe0f97d2d538cd6996441c1d3a40dca5e598fbbf27e774304e938ce6a49
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260521_064653_pred-35.03--119.11-20260604T0911
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 21, 2026 13:46:59 PST
Source Batch
20260521_064653_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:10.978154+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.