Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
10.4 miles South of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.4 miles South of Silver Springs
39.2588°N, 119.1652°W
Forecast Time Window
3rd of June 2026
Jun 03, 2026 23:17:30 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
321h 30m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
10.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
23.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.20
Predicted M2.6 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
21.4 km
Pred. 7.0 km vs actual 14.4 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
1e3d7b9aa29511dc519bfa29696f28124524b31815c59ef9d3a6b4e62ffc39d0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260521_064653_pred-39.26--119.17-20260603T2317
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 21, 2026 13:46:59 PST
Source Batch
20260521_064653_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:10.978154+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.