Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
25.9 miles South-East of Empire
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
25.9 miles South-East of Empire
40.2449°N, 119.1158°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of June 2026
Jun 09, 2026 11:55:13 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
454h 8m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
137.0 km
37.0 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
14.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.09
Predicted M2.21 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
15.0 km
Pred. 9.9 km vs actual 5.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
106391d34f96e53717ec733ed3e33077e8e93443d5de2b08080015f4b07bd166
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260521_064653_pred-40.24--119.12-20260609T1155
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 21, 2026 13:46:59 PST
Source Batch
20260521_064653_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:10.978154+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.