Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
6.4 miles North-West of Anza
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.4 miles North-West of Anza
33.6219°N, 116.7515°W
Forecast Time Window
12th of June 2026
Jun 12, 2026 16:03:38 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
510h 34m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
59.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
1.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.17
Predicted M2.13 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
13.7 km
Pred. 4.3 km vs actual 9.4 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e26708b45adb3059d4d8028c4a70730fff486dc48dbd1ca9ab377df773ac75e5
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_022919_pred-33.62--116.75-20260612T1603
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 09:29:24 PST
Source Batch
20260522_022919_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:45.856739+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.