Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
6.2 miles North-West of Desert Hot Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.2 miles North-West of Desert Hot Springs
34.0295°N, 116.5727°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of June 2026
Jun 05, 2026 15:53:42 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
342h 24m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
58.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
3.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.27
Predicted M2.37 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
14.7 km
Pred. 9.7 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6cb237304b203ef6fda9002f3218ab528cb6c5f4dd423655d9310deeaa0b5cda
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_022919_pred-34.03--116.57-20260605T1553
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 09:29:24 PST
Source Batch
20260522_022919_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:45.856739+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.