Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.8
13.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
13.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2431°N, 119.0852°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of June 2026
Jun 07, 2026 10:33:18 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.8
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
385h 3m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
75.6 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
12.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.52
Predicted M2.82 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
11.6 km
Pred. 9.3 km vs actual 2.3 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
2dfc2d07e254d692e789682557231c81e13ed6f8819245a30bd2e4313e39967c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_022919_pred-39.24--119.09-20260607T1033
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 09:29:24 PST
Source Batch
20260522_022919_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:45.856739+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.