Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
16.4 miles South-West of Currant
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
16.4 miles South-West of Currant
38.5314°N, 115.6422°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of June 2026
Jun 02, 2026 10:37:38 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
2.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
264h 19m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
122.5 km
22.5 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
13.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.13
Predicted M2.13 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
5.5 km
Pred. 2.0 km vs actual 3.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
a4c75849204bb850cf6c85ed7a07fb2fbc7c8feef5f74f409a1ca597681b009a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_031737_pred-38.53--115.64-20260602T1037
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 10:17:43 PST
Source Batch
20260522_031737_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:55.568457+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.