Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
6.4 miles North-West of Anza
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.4 miles North-West of Anza
33.6219°N, 116.7515°W
Forecast Time Window
12th of June 2026
Jun 12, 2026 15:29:57 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
507h 52m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
59.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
2.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.17
Predicted M2.13 vs actual M2.3
Depth Error
13.7 km
Pred. 4.3 km vs actual 9.4 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
b413c3ff62b9f904d63d7088f8d309dcd5fa0d86a9bc2ac374a5b7214cb7960a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_043723_pred-33.62--116.75-20260612T1529
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 11:37:29 PST
Source Batch
20260522_043723_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:05.309934+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.