Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
5.4 miles North-East of Ridgecrest
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.4 miles North-East of Ridgecrest
35.6701°N, 117.5937°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of July 2026
Jul 08, 2026 06:50:50 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1115h 14m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
46.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
12.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.05
Predicted M3.15 vs actual M2.1
- 0.05 over limit
Depth Error
12.4 km
Pred. 4.9 km vs actual 7.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
516aee846eb754e4ea872b664ccbf9846bbdde4f376e886b61d7730d7b3c5664
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_123627_pred-35.67--117.59-20260708T0650
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 19:36:32 PST
Source Batch
20260522_123627_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:06.555398+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.