Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
5.4 miles North-East of Ridgecrest
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.4 miles North-East of Ridgecrest
35.6701°N, 117.5937°W
Forecast Time Window
23rd of June 2026
Jun 23, 2026 19:02:33 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
767h 24m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
45.6 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
10.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.35
Predicted M3.15 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
14.9 km
Pred. 4.9 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
1d2b518af84a908ed091aa5dd1ac2bb8720b3d06382775513a1fbcf98aa2478c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_123820_pred-35.67--117.59-20260623T1902
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 19:38:25 PST
Source Batch
20260522_123820_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:07.609471+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.