Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
7.8 miles East of Westgard Pass
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.8 miles East of Westgard Pass
37.3423°N, 117.9755°W
Forecast Time Window
23rd of June 2026
Jun 23, 2026 15:24:24 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
2.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
763h 45m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
162.8 km
62.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
33.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.14
Predicted M3.36 vs actual M3.5
Depth Error
7.3 km
Pred. 2.4 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
5872ea76eb75df8976eed656d3b940156897ce1ae2539316590596f479dd2c9a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_123820_pred-37.34--117.98-20260623T1524
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 22, 2026 19:38:25 PST
Source Batch
20260522_123820_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:07.609471+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.