Permanent Prediction Record
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Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
41.6 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
41.6 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
33.3220°N, 118.9025°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of July 2026
Jul 08, 2026 16:51:39 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
14.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1116h 2m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
140.3 km
40.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
2.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.69
Predicted M3.09 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
16.6 km
Pred. 14.6 km vs actual 2.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ff9fdb35229178ff94593d4ad93a1f4a89760cae7db54ea94ce7862662f5cadb
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_214848_pred-33.32--118.90-20260708T1651
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 23, 2026 04:48:54 PST
Source Batch
20260522_214848_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:08.640463+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.