Permanent Prediction Record
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Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
41.6 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
41.6 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
33.3220°N, 118.9025°W
Forecast Time Window
23rd of June 2026
Jun 23, 2026 19:45:45 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
14.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
758h 54m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
62.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
36.1 h
0.1 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.89
Predicted M3.09 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
18.4 km
Pred. 14.6 km vs actual 3.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
1effc77a4ea7f80c695fa8d58a1c2ee0a56bbb8de75de5f62ab0b7cc2d3e7366
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260522_215044_pred-33.32--118.90-20260623T1945
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
May 23, 2026 04:50:49 PST
Source Batch
20260522_215044_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:45:09.804317+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.