Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
8.2 miles North-West of Bombay Beach
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.2 miles North-West of Bombay Beach
33.4530°N, 115.8024°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of June 2026
Jun 26, 2026 10:12:55 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
348h 52m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
75.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
2.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.03
Predicted M2.37 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
23.9 km
Pred. 8.7 km vs actual 15.1 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ad11284e7ff090917979ac4fbc79a2838bb8a6d152bf57adfecf8a41096ee60c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260611_142010_pred-33.45--115.80-20260626T1012
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 11, 2026 21:20:13 PST
Source Batch
20260611_142010_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:42.672202+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.