Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
10.5 miles South-East of Twentynine Palms
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.5 miles South-East of Twentynine Palms
34.0347°N, 115.9171°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of June 2026
Jun 25, 2026 17:24:21 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
332h 4m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
27.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
23.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.24
Predicted M2.56 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
12.7 km
Pred. 7.7 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
fff470ff4c16e70608612f505425cde215ad168a39b2498e76b7215b9b54fa5a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260611_142010_pred-34.03--115.92-20260625T1724
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 11, 2026 21:20:13 PST
Source Batch
20260611_142010_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:42.672202+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.