Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
24.8 miles South-West of Daly City
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
24.8 miles South-West of Daly City
37.4549°N, 122.8137°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of June 2026
Jun 26, 2026 17:02:10 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
2.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
355h 41m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
34.4 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
23.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.27
Predicted M2.47 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
12.1 km
Pred. 2.8 km vs actual 9.3 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
66e97abeff2e3d61c6739a4b509a17a8c000dec1245aefebd486c891264ca14d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260611_142010_pred-37.45--122.81-20260626T1702
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 11, 2026 21:20:13 PST
Source Batch
20260611_142010_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:42.672202+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.