Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
11.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2604°N, 119.1277°W
Forecast Time Window
24th of June 2026
Jun 24, 2026 02:40:46 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
293h 20m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
13.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
14.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.23
Predicted M1.87 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
16.5 km
Pred. 9.4 km vs actual 7.1 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e0b27c2e00a469a9795aa652acb26be049af38f3be878fe8e87c8674cae43095
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260611_142010_pred-39.26--119.13-20260624T0240
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 11, 2026 21:20:13 PST
Source Batch
20260611_142010_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:42.672202+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.