Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
6.3 miles South-West of Oak Grove
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.3 miles South-West of Oak Grove
33.3123°N, 116.8294°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of June 2026
Jun 26, 2026 11:42:02 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
335h 54m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
90.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
4.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.76
Predicted M2.04 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
11.7 km
Pred. 6.6 km vs actual 5.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
b85f989e304196a53e2d7d97a71e3ab2cb5d2cbe5fccd37a1a77bb4e063935d4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260612_044727_pred-33.31--116.83-20260626T1142
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 12, 2026 11:47:30 PST
Source Batch
20260612_044727_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:39.518317+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.