Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
19.5 miles South-East of Austin
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
19.5 miles South-East of Austin
39.2511°N, 116.8852°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of June 2026
Jun 26, 2026 11:39:35 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
335h 52m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
146.7 km
46.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
21.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.37
Predicted M2.57 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
17.6 km
Pred. 6.4 km vs actual 11.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
8d673d036fc7581351ea0a4910a19b056b2deb3fbc0d9d8f2f308df389d947e7
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260612_044727_pred-39.25--116.89-20260626T1139
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 12, 2026 11:47:30 PST
Source Batch
20260612_044727_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:39.518317+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.