Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
11.6 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.6 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2591°N, 119.1154°W
Forecast Time Window
24th of June 2026
Jun 24, 2026 10:06:17 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
286h 18m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
76.7 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
1.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.03
Predicted M2.23 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
5.0 km
Pred. 6.6 km vs actual 1.7 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3148ffe3b0be38c576063b54a32e1b797ceedba397e8b9c2a940ef2799a44bef
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260612_044727_pred-39.26--119.12-20260624T1006
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 12, 2026 11:47:30 PST
Source Batch
20260612_044727_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:39.518317+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.