Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
11.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3105°N, 119.0456°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of June 2026
Jun 27, 2026 07:35:26 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
336h 49m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
50.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
44.1 h
8.1 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.07
Predicted M1.93 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
17.0 km
Pred. 5.9 km vs actual 11.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c5aff8c43aa924ce32f15deba656f0a6ffada21df39af67a014ac02e68e0690c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260612_234544_pred-39.31--119.05-20260627T0735
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 13, 2026 06:45:47 PST
Source Batch
20260612_234544_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:41.880835+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.