Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
12.5 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.5 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3156°N, 119.0257°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of June 2026
Jun 29, 2026 21:38:07 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
398h 52m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
2.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
13.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.01
Predicted M2.19 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
16.6 km
Pred. 9.7 km vs actual 6.9 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
35f4ea0932f3ee4df7a2af56a2a6994b436952850aaa615eacfb23af04ff690e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260612_234544_pred-39.32--119.03-20260629T2138
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 13, 2026 06:45:47 PST
Source Batch
20260612_234544_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:41.880835+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.