Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.8
53.7 miles West of Fort Bragg
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
53.7 miles West of Fort Bragg
39.3752°N, 124.8078°W
Forecast Time Window
30th of June 2026
Jun 30, 2026 00:11:12 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.8
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
401h 25m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
103.8 km
3.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
11.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.25
Predicted M2.85 vs actual M2.6
Depth Error
15.0 km
Pred. 7.0 km vs actual 8.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ed30b72eea0bdaeb9898fed9926da090245b05c5293693b5d35b226018aac8e3
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260612_234544_pred-39.38--124.81-20260630T0011
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 13, 2026 06:45:47 PST
Source Batch
20260612_234544_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:41.880835+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.