Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
27.7 miles West of Weott
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
27.7 miles West of Weott
40.2529°N, 124.4359°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of July 2026
Jul 04, 2026 13:14:31 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
501h 20m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
14.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
37.2 h
1.2 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.09
Predicted M2.29 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
29.8 km
Pred. 3.7 km vs actual 26.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6c17b2b3086e9bc74301b0459d65808a33435044d7727c4aa13cbec0fcc4ff51
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260613_085340_pred-40.25--124.44-20260704T1314
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 13, 2026 15:53:43 PST
Source Batch
20260613_085340_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:38.016172+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.