Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
33.5 miles North of Beatty
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
33.5 miles North of Beatty
37.3884°N, 116.8317°W
Forecast Time Window
13th of June 2026
Jun 13, 2026 17:48:02 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
175.9 km
75.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
5.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.20
Predicted M2.2 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
17.0 km
Pred. 8.2 km vs actual 8.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
0ed8c90c582413ae22505d65e2ccf7508d4e2da34a9c168bb3cf0e8ff1cc28e0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260613_173246_pred-37.39--116.83-20260613T1748
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 14, 2026 00:32:49 PST
Source Batch
20260613_173246_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:38.760691+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.