Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
14.7 miles South-East of Weed Heights
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
14.7 miles South-East of Weed Heights
38.7830°N, 119.0399°W
Forecast Time Window
30th of June 2026
Jun 30, 2026 16:37:18 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
400h 4m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
60.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
5.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.22 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
15.1 km
Pred. 8.2 km vs actual 6.9 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e099f2730174b355c7f3286a534048fdeeec3cca07fd56c28e8404efcae748bb
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260613_173246_pred-38.78--119.04-20260630T1637
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 14, 2026 00:32:49 PST
Source Batch
20260613_173246_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:38.760691+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.