Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
4.5 miles South-East of Banning
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4.5 miles South-East of Banning
33.8651°N, 116.8458°W
Forecast Time Window
13th of June 2026
Jun 13, 2026 17:48:02 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
26.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
7.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.20
Predicted M2.2 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
19.9 km
Pred. 8.2 km vs actual 11.7 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
11bef5a0425fb08ab8fc610af9141a85af1a9c8e0c3a5fb41541d69c9abe4ddf
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260614_021147_pred-33.87--116.85-20260613T1748
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 14, 2026 09:11:50 PST
Source Batch
20260614_021147_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:34.977029+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.