Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
6.4 miles East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.4 miles East of Silver Springs
39.4073°N, 119.1140°W
Forecast Time Window
18th of June 2026
Jun 18, 2026 01:30:58 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
79h 56m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
11.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
4.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.63
Predicted M2.73 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
17.1 km
Pred. 10.9 km vs actual 6.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
2858041cddf26b5817b90fc4d98517487dcb4f944cb9fd865772064e4d15c780
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260614_103455_pred-39.41--119.11-20260618T0130
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 14, 2026 17:34:57 PST
Source Batch
20260614_103455_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:35.754541+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.