Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
2.5 miles South of Lytle Creek
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
2.5 miles South of Lytle Creek
34.2240°N, 117.5194°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of June 2026
Jun 27, 2026 11:09:44 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
296h 52m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
141.0 km
41.0 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
14.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.06
Predicted M2.16 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
7.2 km
Pred. 4.4 km vs actual 2.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
71b7bc0cff50d7382cb62277e90134f11be276a797e7e887b9cc0402341ff6e5
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260614_191732_pred-34.22--117.52-20260627T1109
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 15, 2026 02:17:36 PST
Source Batch
20260614_191732_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:36.519130+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.