Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
11.5 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.5 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2775°N, 119.0868°W
Forecast Time Window
29th of June 2026
Jun 29, 2026 04:50:18 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
12.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
338h 32m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
5.1 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
2.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.57
Predicted M1.93 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
16.9 km
Pred. 12.7 km vs actual 4.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
9b751db386442746ac78c7ca0e1333b10cf061c4123f14716c5276bc9b83917f
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260614_191732_pred-39.28--119.09-20260629T0450
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 15, 2026 02:17:36 PST
Source Batch
20260614_191732_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:36.519130+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.