Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
10.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3341°N, 119.0509°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of June 2026
Jun 27, 2026 09:10:39 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
294h 53m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
3.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
46.2 h
10.2 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.07
Predicted M2.57 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
15.0 km
Pred. 10.8 km vs actual 4.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
8a1ae8064bbd3c5444ac347279590d21b70319c5d0ce191446aa3fa5c971f88d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260614_191732_pred-39.33--119.05-20260627T0910
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 15, 2026 02:17:36 PST
Source Batch
20260614_191732_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:36.519130+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.