Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
10.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.8 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3341°N, 119.0509°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of June 2026
Jun 27, 2026 07:44:08 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.6
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
293h 24m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
3.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
47.6 h
11.7 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.07
Predicted M2.57 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
15.0 km
Pred. 10.8 km vs actual 4.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
002d0e3d27c77195aead8259c4957ea26d83a320e73cce0c41f0f9f4331a3ce1
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260614_191915_pred-39.33--119.05-20260627T0744
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 15, 2026 02:19:18 PST
Source Batch
20260614_191915_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:37.281100+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.