Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
5808.1 miles North-East of Mesquite
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5808.1 miles North-East of Mesquite
33.1286°N, 4.5558°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of June 2026
Jun 28, 2026 09:08:52 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
308h 25m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
241.9 km
141.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
6.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.18
Predicted M2.08 vs actual M1.9
Depth Error
10.8 km
Pred. 8.3 km vs actual 2.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
5998058d69e727fe9706324ab53b9ae62d43e13dacb2241e41205871de8b5c7f
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260615_054319_pred-33.13--4.56-20260628T0908
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 15, 2026 12:43:23 PST
Source Batch
20260615_054319_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:32.494933+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.