Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
0.9 miles East of Cantil
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
0.9 miles East of Cantil
35.3082°N, 117.9690°W
Forecast Time Window
15th of June 2026
Jun 15, 2026 19:21:00 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
6h 37m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
14.4 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
46.3 h
10.3 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.07
Predicted M2.07 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
17.8 km
Pred. 9.2 km vs actual 8.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
25eaa16c363256a4d329123ea65b78913bc21f1842b76df9ba481d20f02b759c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260615_054319_pred-35.31--117.97-20260615T1921
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 15, 2026 12:43:23 PST
Source Batch
20260615_054319_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:32.494933+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.