Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
36.7 miles North of Battle Mountain
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
36.7 miles North of Battle Mountain
41.1613°N, 116.7981°W
Forecast Time Window
15th of June 2026
Jun 15, 2026 21:51:21 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
9h 7m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
7.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
4.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.39
Predicted M2.89 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
17.5 km
Pred. 7.5 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
624daef3bdb22316d08cc7afb49c0f924f00cf17e51d150cbb6109cb116a06d0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260615_054319_pred-41.16--116.80-20260615T2151
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 15, 2026 12:43:23 PST
Source Batch
20260615_054319_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:32.494933+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.