Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
34.6 miles North of Battle Mountain
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
34.6 miles North of Battle Mountain
41.1318°N, 116.8027°W
Forecast Time Window
17th of June 2026
Jun 17, 2026 03:19:04 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
22h 42m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
9.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
34.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.10
Predicted M2.4 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
20.8 km
Pred. 10.8 km vs actual 10.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
697f799dff845418e74cbd71407223bb66aebb33eda0b4a30996fbce7491fbc4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260615_213639_pred-41.13--116.80-20260617T0319
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 16, 2026 04:36:43 PST
Source Batch
20260615_213639_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-18 07:44:34.074123+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.