Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
43.2 miles South of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
43.2 miles South of Rancho Palos Verdes
33.1630°N, 118.6626°W
Forecast Time Window
28th of June 2026
Jun 28, 2026 18:27:37 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
243h 50m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
182.9 km
82.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
19.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.10
Predicted M2.1 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
19.3 km
Pred. 15.1 km vs actual 4.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3e4f57b50f84c4cb5b8dd5b762bfb3ffacd4a725cf54e5707f99ff6be4f9d1a0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260618_073655_pred-33.16--118.66-20260628T1827
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 18, 2026 14:37:01 PST
Source Batch
20260618_073655_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-24 08:32:46.459824+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.