Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
10.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2776°N, 119.1189°W
Forecast Time Window
17th of June 2026
Jun 17, 2026 18:16:41 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
7.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
12.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.75
Predicted M2.85 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
21.3 km
Pred. 15.1 km vs actual 6.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
1f7dea04030235d8e419b08a963fed7f0f571937b01a1fe0dcc092c9509cb321
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260618_073655_pred-39.28--119.12-20260617T1816
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 18, 2026 14:37:01 PST
Source Batch
20260618_073655_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-24 08:32:46.459824+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.