Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
43.2 miles South of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
43.2 miles South of Rancho Palos Verdes
33.1630°N, 118.6626°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of March 2023
Mar 26, 2023 05:42:06 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
161.2 km
61.2 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
9.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.00
Predicted M2.1 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
20.1 km
Pred. 15.1 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
67399c3c0236111f98da19fbea174e2e646987dfe8bae3d1718160f7c0caa37c
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260618_073844_pred-33.16--118.66-20230326T0542
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 18, 2026 14:38:49 PST
Source Batch
20260618_073844_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-24 08:32:47.247371+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.