Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
10.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.4 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.2776°N, 119.1189°W
Forecast Time Window
15th of March 2023
Mar 15, 2023 05:31:10 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
220.4 km
120.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
7.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.15
Predicted M2.85 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
28.1 km
Pred. 15.1 km vs actual 13.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
d4deb3a99665e38a9bf81d793f90766cf9553892aff23126e227fb52f74365cb
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260618_073844_pred-39.28--119.12-20230315T0531
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 18, 2026 14:38:49 PST
Source Batch
20260618_073844_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-24 08:32:47.247371+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.