Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
43.2 miles South of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
43.2 miles South of Rancho Palos Verdes
33.1630°N, 118.6626°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of July 2026
Jul 01, 2026 20:54:28 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
294h 6m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
186.8 km
86.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
4.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.10
Predicted M2.1 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
25.3 km
Pred. 15.1 km vs actual 10.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3cc0a21401602c52013cb6fd7e396f3d63f6b0140c373d57ad9509ad4718f0aa
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260619_074813_pred-33.16--118.66-20260701T2054
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 19, 2026 14:48:18 PST
Source Batch
20260619_074813_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-22 11:57:35.397720+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.