Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
10.2 miles South of Fallon
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.2 miles South of Fallon
39.3334°N, 118.8375°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of July 2026
Jul 07, 2026 07:23:59 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
319h 29m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
171.1 km
71.1 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
7.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.04
Predicted M2.04 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
13.6 km
Pred. 5.2 km vs actual 8.4 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
02f96d9d899d27e1f958fe7551349be67f7216fa9f259aef2857bf555d8e5291
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260623_165442_pred-39.33--118.84-20260707T0723
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 23, 2026 23:54:45 PST
Source Batch
20260623_165442_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-24 08:31:46.314742+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.