Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
46.5 miles South-East of Lovelock
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
46.5 miles South-East of Lovelock
39.6742°N, 117.8953°W
Forecast Time Window
24th of June 2026
Jun 24, 2026 03:33:27 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
3h 38m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
90.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
34.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.04
Predicted M2.16 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
16.0 km
Pred. 4.8 km vs actual 11.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
44f85086b15b7a7cce12f4649ce1cdb7631b02d712f0cbab0f49721e8ad686a0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260623_165442_pred-39.67--117.90-20260624T0333
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 23, 2026 23:54:45 PST
Source Batch
20260623_165442_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-24 08:31:46.314742+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.