Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
8.9 miles South of Lake Sabrina
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.9 miles South of Lake Sabrina
37.0960°N, 118.6731°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of July 2026
Jul 08, 2026 02:42:57 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
319h 31m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
43.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
18.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.65
Predicted M2.85 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
15.5 km
Pred. 5.0 km vs actual 10.5 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
9ba1cf76a4a9f904a71fde4d8e1cb289eaac85c194921eae98341855495edfbd
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260624_121116_pred-37.10--118.67-20260708T0242
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 24, 2026 19:11:19 PST
Source Batch
20260624_121116_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-25 08:31:35.155759+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.