Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
10.5 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.5 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3174°N, 119.0688°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of July 2026
Jul 08, 2026 14:38:47 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M1.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
7.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
331h 27m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
154.1 km
54.1 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
5.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.48
Predicted M1.92 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
14.8 km
Pred. 7.3 km vs actual 7.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
99d7fb08c549b3cf9a805ac74de3a76bf82c881c5e86b5ff9c96929421690380
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260624_121116_pred-39.32--119.07-20260708T1438
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 24, 2026 19:11:19 PST
Source Batch
20260624_121116_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-25 08:31:35.155759+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.