Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
6.4 miles North-West of Burney
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.4 miles North-West of Burney
40.9332°N, 121.7630°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of June 2026
Jun 25, 2026 07:28:22 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
12h 17m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
68.8 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
19.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.22
Predicted M2.22 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
4.7 km
Pred. 4.1 km vs actual 0.6 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
17e004c9d413f11db739c11016e04904f5f274306c5b68a1baed3b5db03c7a3a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260624_121116_pred-40.93--121.76-20260625T0728
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 24, 2026 19:11:19 PST
Source Batch
20260624_121116_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-25 08:31:35.155759+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.